A Forecast, Sketched

Due: 10/1

What

Take one of the datasets from your Assignment 2 map and sketch how it could be run forward (or backward) in time: its record, the rule you would apply to it, and the data the run would produce.

The objective of this assignment is to stay in the world of high-level thought about what you want to do, and not to make anything yet. No code. We will talk through these as a group in class, you will refine them for the following week, and we will use them to build our first sandbox.

Please include, in this order:

  • What you are attempting. A short paragraph: what you want your data to say about a time it doesn't cover, and why.
  • The dataset. Who made it, when, and for what. How many rows, and the columns you would use, with their units. Excel and the data dictionary are your friends here.
  • Research. How have others done something like this? Look for a published method, model or set of equations close to what you want to do, the way Tutorial 3 follows i-Tree Streets and the Urban Tree Database. Cite what you find. (If you can't find anything, say where you looked.)
  • Your record. The rows and columns you start from, and the date they describe.
  • Your rule. What happens to each row at every step, in a sentence or two or a diagram. For every number the rule needs, say where it comes from (a source, or you), and mark the ones you are least sure of.
  • Your run. What steps forward (years? hours? something else?), from when to when, and which parts, if any, are left to chance.
  • The data it would generate. Draw it out: a few rows of the table the run would produce, with the new columns, and a sketch of the map or chart that would show it.
  • What it can't see. A short list of what the data and the rule leave out.

Try to accomplish the above as a mix of text, hand drawings, diagrams, screenshots of a spreadsheet, collage, etc.. Try to keep it to two pages if using standard letter format. Feel free to combine cateogies above into one section (e.g. your record/rule/run could be a mock-up of a spreadsheet with annotations.)

Submit:

  • the sketch, as a PDF or an image
  • a two-sentence gallery text e.g. "A sketch of a model that predicts the amount of cars parked in the bike lane per block. Uses x and y to do z."

Submission

Submit your work below. It appears under Student Work.

Opens the upload form. Your submission appears under Student Work.

Handed in